Early 2023 Super Bowl Odds and Predictions

Super Bowl LVI has come and gone, and the Las Angeles Rams are the 2022 Super Bowl champions. Outside of LA, it’s time to start looking ahead to the 2023 Super Bowl. LA can celebrate as much as they like, but the rest of us need to move on. How will next season look, and which team has the best 2023 Super Bowl odds?

It’s never too early to look at next season, after all, this is the time when you will have the best opportunity to make creative bets before the draft and free agency play out. That being said, it is also a volatile time because we don’t know what teams will look like at the start of the season. It’s all very exciting, so we thought we would take a look at the early Super Bowl odds while making a few predictions along the way. 

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The 2023 Super Bowl Odds 

The betting odds for every sporting event change all the time, but the off-season is where they change the least. The oddsmakers are not as focused on leagues that are not in play, and as a result, this is the time to take advantage of odds that might not have been adequately adjusted. At the moment, here’s what the 2023 Super Bowl odds look like at DraftKings Sportsbook. 

  • Kansas City Chiefs +750
  • Buffalo Bills +750
  • Las Angeles Rams +1200
  • Green Bay Packers +1400
  • Dallas Cowboys +1400
  • San Francisco 49ers +1400
  • Cincinnati Bengals +1400
  • Baltimore Ravens +2000
  • Tennessee Titans +2200
  • Las Angeles Chargers +2200
  • Denver Broncos +2200
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2500
  • New England Patriots +2500
  • Arizona Cardinals +2500
  • Indianapolis Colts +2500
  • Cleveland Browns +3000
  • Minnesota Vikings +3500
  • Seattle Seahawks +3500
  • New Orleans Saints +3500
  • Philadelphia Eagles +4000
  • Las Vegas Raiders +4500
  • Miami Dolphins +4500
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +5000
  • Washington Commanders +5000
  • Atlanta Falcons +5000
  • Carolina Panthers +5000
  • Chicago Bears +8000
  • New York Giants +8000
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +10000
  • Detroit Lions +15000
  • New York Jets +15000
  • Houston Texans +15000

Player Movement That Could Lead to Big Odds Changes 

When discussing the 2023 Super Bowl odds in the off-season, we need to bring up player movement. We’re only a few weeks removed from the Super Bowl, and as a result, free agency hasn’t even started yet, so we don’t know where notable free agents will end up. Where those players end up, along with the results of the draft, could shift the odds drastically for some teams. 

Will Aaron Rodgers Stay in Green Bay? 

Aaron Rodgers is undoubtedly the most talked-about NFL player right now. He’s won back-to-back MVPs, all while in his late 30s. If he were 30 years old there would be no question about where he would end up. The Green Bay Packers would do everything they could to retain him, but he’s 38. As a result, there’s the question of whether the Packers can retain given their cap issues, and we don’t know if Rodgers even wants to stay.  

If Rodgers chooses to stay in Green Bay for another season, their odds won’t shift much. They currently sit 4th in odds at +1400, at least until the season starts. However, if he leaves, they will likely fall out of the top half. 

The top contender to land Rodgers if he decides to leave Green Bay is the Denver Broncos. The 2021 off-season was filled with drama as Rodgers reportedly asked for a trade to Denver. While it never materialized, there is still the question of whether Rodgers is still interested in playing in the mile-high city. If the Broncos manage to land Rodgers, they should immediately enter the NFL’s elite. They already have one of the best defenses in the league, a great receiver core, and one of the best up-and-coming tight ends in Noah Fant. The big thing they’re missing is a quarterback. Landing Aaron Rodgers would certainly resolve that problem.  

Other teams that are reportedly interested in Rodgers include the Indianapolis Colts, New York Giants, San Francisco 49ers, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Of course, there’s the question of what the acquiring team would need to give up in a trade but adding Rodgers to almost any team in the league would be a massive benefit to them. 

Will Davante Adams Get the Franchise Tag? 

Davante Adams is one of the best wide receivers in the world, and his play with Aaron Rodgers was a big reason for the success of the Green Bay Packers in the regular season this past year. That being said, it is no secret that the Packers are in a cap crunch, and Aaron Rodgers could be on the move.  

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At 29 years of age, Adams is certainly worth retaining, but he will be expensive. However, there is the question of where the Packers are heading. If Rodgers comes back, they will almost certainly franchise tag Adams to get another shot at the Super Bowl. However, if they decide to let Rodgers go, they will likely start a rebuild. If that’s the case, they might look to jumpstart that rebuild by trading Adams to the highest bidder.  

It’s unlikely that the Packers will just let Adams walk, so they will either give him the franchise tag or a full-blown extension. An extension might be too expensive given their cap situation, so a franchise tag is likely. They can then decide to keep or trade him depending on Rodgers’ status. 

Where Will Orlando Brown Jr End Up? 

Another big name that could be on the move this off-season is Orlando Brown Jr. The offensive tackle was traded to the Kansas City Chiefs from the Baltimore Ravens last off-season. He went on to help the Chiefs put together another successful season. As a young, durable, and capable player in a premium position, Brown has a lot of leverage. He’s going the cash in this off-season, it’s just a question of where he’ll get his payday from.  

The Chiefs do have the ability to franchise tag him, but that would just delay their decision by a year. In all likelihood, Brown will receive an extension from the Chiefs. Kansas City is a perennial contender, and they cannot afford to let an all-star offensive tackle walk. However, if they decide to trade him, where he goes and the return the Chiefs get could have massive implications on the betting odds. 

Where Will the 2023 Super Bowl be Played? 

If you are a new NFL fan, you might not realize that the Super Bowl is supposed to be held at a neutral site every year. After all, Tampa Bay won at home in 2021, and the Rams did the same a few weeks ago. However, it was decided years earlier that the 2021 and 2022 Super Bowls would be held in Tampa and LA respectively. It had nothing to do with those teams making the Super Bowl.  

With that in mind, the 2023 Super Bowl will be held at State Farm Stadium, the home o the Arizona Cardinals. The first time the Super Bowl was hosted there was in 2008 when the Giants famously upset the undefeated Patriots. More recently, the Super Bowl came to Arizona in 2015 as the Patriots defeated the Seahawks. 

When Will Tickets be Available? 

State Farm Stadium can fit up to 78,600 spectators, that is if you include standing room space. It is an indoor stadium that uses natural grass as its playing surface rather than turf. 

The exact date that tickets will be available to purchase has not been released yet. As a result, you will need to wait a little while to buy them. That being said, the best time to buy Super Bowl tickets is usually three to five days before the event. Prices typically go down as the event gets closer but increase just before the event. As a result, the best time is around half a week before the Super Bowl if you are trying to get the best price. 

Possible 2023 Super Bowl Matchups 

The best thing about the off-season is that anything is possible. So, here we want to look at some fun, but possible Super Bowl matchups for next year. 

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Angeles Rams 

If you’re looking for a battle of the best in next year’s Super Bowl, you should pray for a Chiefs vs Rams championship game. The Chiefs have at least made the AFC Championship four seasons in a row. With Patrick Mahomes still at the height of powers, there’s no reason to expect any different from the Chiefs this season.  

The biggest issue the Chiefs face is the number of sacks they allow. They have progressively gotten worse over the past three seasons, to the point where they were 29th in the league in sacks allowed this past year. This team is built around Patrick Mahomes, and they need to give him time to make plays. He can play well under pressure, but they’re at their best when Mahomes can play at his maximum capacity. 

The Rams won the Super Bowl by going all-in on an expensive core of stars, with the most notable acquisition being quarterback Matthew Stafford in March of 2021. With Stafford set to return along with Cooper Kupp, Aaron Donald, and Jalen Ramsey, they have all of the pieces to run it back. 

There are questions going into next season. Notably, Aaron Donald told reporters prior to the Super Bowl that if they won, he would consider retirement. Since then, Donald has tried to back off that statement, so it looks like he’s staying around for now. If Donald were to retire, it would be a massive blow to the Rams’ defense. 

We could’ve had this matchup this year. The Chiefs held a 21-3 lead early in the game, and one the coin flip in overtime before Mahomes threw an interception. If they held onto their lead, would they have won the Super Bowl? We might get to find out in 2023. 

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys 

The Bills and Cowboys would be a fun matchup of star quarterbacks in Josh Allen and Dak Prescott. Both teams have struggled to get over the hump in recent years, and both have shown promise. 

The Bills were a coin flip away from going to the AFC Championship last season. If they won the coin flip, they could have made it to the Super Bowl and even won it. There shouldn’t be many big changes for the Bills this off-season, so they will be in the mix once again. 

The Cowboys are an interesting team as they were the best offensive team in the league this past season, but they were a disaster on defense. They also play in one of the weakest divisions in the league in the NFC East, so there’s a great chance they have a high playoff seed again. They don’t need to be world-beaters on defense, just competent. If they can make that happen and their offense doesn’t fall apart in the playoffs, they should be in the mix to win the NFC next season.

The Bills and Cowboys are two of the longest-suffering fan bases in the NFL. While the Cowboys won’t get much sympathy from fans, it would be fun to see these two teams in the Super Bowl. 

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals 

This one’s an interesting one because it’s not overly likely, and there’s nothing that inherently links the two teams. The Bengals should be in the mix to get back to the Super Bowl next season as Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase are only going to get better as a dynamic duo. They’ll be up against stiff competition, but the Bengals look poised to go on another run. 

The Cardinals are an interesting team because they should be motivated by the prospect of playing the Super Bowl at home. They also have the potential to succeed as they started last season 7-0. They then went 4-6 to close the year and last in the first round of the playoffs. If they can find a way to avoid another collapse, they could be a great value pick given their current odds. 

ESPN Early 2023 Super Bowl Predictions 

ESPN loves making predictions, and they have done it once again by putting out their early power rankings for next season. From the AFC, they have the Chiefs and Bills as the early favorites. Conversely, they have the Rams and Packers as the early favorites in the NFC.

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