2022 Heisman Odds and Prediction
Every year the Heisman Trophy is awarded to the most outstanding player in college football. Winners usually have great ability, diligence, and perseverance. It is one of, if not the most, prestigious awards in college sports.
It was only a few months ago, on December 11th, that Bryce Young became the winner of the 2021 Heisman Trophy. However, that won’t stop us from looking at some of the early contenders for 2022.
Early Heisman Betting Odds
While the season hasn’t even started yet, and there are still ten months remaining to announce a winner, you can already bet on the 2022 Heisman winner.
BetMGM has put out their early odds, which you can find here:
- Bryce Young (Alabama – QB) +250
- J. Stroud (Ohio State – QB) +400
- Caleb Williams (USC – QB) +800
- Bijan Robinson (Texas – RB) +1600
- Quinn Ewers (Texas – QB) +2000
- TreVeyon Henderson (Ohio State – RB) +2000
- J. Uiagalelei (Clemson – QB) +2000
- Anthony Richardson (Florida – QB) +2000
It should be no surprise to anyone that Bryce Young is the early betting favorite for the 2022 Heisman Trophy. After all, he won the 2021 trophy only a few months ago. His performance as a sophomore quarterback in Alabama was truly remarkable, and it would be no surprise if he won again.
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Those who aren’t as familiar with the NFL Draft might think that Young would be a high draft pick this year and on his way to a pro career. That is not the case because the NFL has different eligibility rules for the draft compared to other major North American sports.
To be eligible for the NFL Draft, players need to have been out of high school for at least three years and must have used up their college eligibility prior to the start of the next college football season. Since Young was just a sophomore when he won the Heisman Trophy last year, he needs to play one more year of college football before he enters the draft.
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So, could Young win the Heisman trophy again? He could, but it won’t be easy. Only one person won the Heisman Trophy twice, which was Archie Griffin back in 1974 and 1975. Tim Tebow and Andrew Luck are the only players in recent history to almost win twice. Tebow won in 2007 and was 3rd in voting in 2008, whereas Luck finished 2nd in 2010 and 2011.
Throwing for 4872 yards and 47 touchdowns with just 7 interceptions last season made Young a deserved recipient of the Heisman award last year. However, it will likely take a more impressive season to win again. Voter fatigue is a real thing, and if it’s a close race, do not be surprised if voters choose the new name over the old one.
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Finishing 4th in voting last year, Stroud is one of the early favorites for the Heisman this year. He completed 317 of 441 passes last year, throwing for 4435 yards and 44 touchdowns as the quarterback for Ohio State.
Stroud performed impressively in the Rose Bowl last year, and as a result, he garnered a lot of support towards the end of the season. He could have challenged Young for the Heisman Trophy if not for a shoulder injury early in the season.
The narrative is always at play when it comes to award voting, and Stroud has a strong one. With Ohio State changing their schedule to face teams like Notre Dame, Arkansas State, and Toledo early in the season, a strong start on primetime TV could make Stroud the early favorite.
Caleb Williams is an interesting case because he is the only early betting favorite that transferred schools. He performed well as a freshman at the University of Oklahoma, but on January 3rd he entered the transfer portal. Then on February 1st, Williams announced that he had transferred to USC.
Everything won’t be different for Williams as his decision to transfer to USC was influenced by former Oklahoma head coach Lincoln Riley transferring there as well. Additionally, while he has all the tools to succeed, Williams will only be a sophomore next season. While Bryce Young won last year as an underclassman, votes tend to go to upperclassmen rather than their younger counterparts.
Historically, the Heisman Trophy is awarded to a quarterback more often than not. DeVonta Smith won as a wide receiver in 2020, but before that, you need to go back to 2015 to find another non-quarterback winner in running back Derrick Henry.
With that in mind, running back Bijan Robinson has his work cut out for him, but he might be up for the task. He proved that he was among the best college running backs last year, and this year he could cement his position as the best in the nation. If you wanted to bet on a non-quarterback, Robinson is your best bet.
The hype surrounding Quinn Ewers is tremendous this year. He was the number one high school prospect in 2021, and he decided to skip his senior year to join Ohio State early. He only played briefly in one game this season, but his high school resume has people excited.
Ewers decided to transfer to the University of Texas, where he will join Bijan Robinson as one of the most anticipated duos of the 2022 season. At only 18 years of age, Ewers is a longshot for the Heisman, but if he starts hot and gets a hold of narrative, he could be a dark horse.
Robinson might be the betting favorite for non-quarterbacks, but Henderson is not far behind. Forming an impressive duo with C.J. Stroud at Ohio State, Henderson will have every opportunity to make his case for the 2022 Heisman Trophy.
Rushing for 1172 yards and 15 touchdowns last year, Henderson put together an impressive freshman season. His first career touch saw him run for a 70-yard touchdown. He might be an interesting pick for the Heisman if he can open the season in impressive fashion again.
Uiagalelei’s inclusion as a frontrunner is an interesting one. Not because he could not contend, but because of how risky a pick he is. He performed well in 2021, throwing for 2246 yards and 9 touchdowns, but there’s no guarantee he’ll be the starter for Clemson this season.
Hunter Johnson recently transferred back to Clemson, and five-star recruit Cade Klubnik is also in the mix. Uiagalelei should be the starter, but if he has a slow start, he could quickly lose the job to his competition.
The University of Florida has not had a Heisman Trophy winner since 2007 when Tim Tebow famously won the award. However, Anthony Richardson comes in as one of the early betting favorites as the last of eight players with +2000 odds or better.
Richardson only appeared in six games last season but performed well in his sparse appearances. His small sample size might be concerning to some, but others see his explosive play and running ability as factors that could lead to Heisman Trophy contention.
Our Heisman Prediction
When predicting the Heisman Trophy in 2022, you either need to pick Bryce Young or find a good reason not to pick him. It is not often that the Heisman Trophy winner remains in college, and as a result, it is hard to pick anyone else.
However, as we mentioned earlier, there has only been one player to win the Heisman Trophy twice, and that was all the way back in the 70s. So, voting fatigue could be a factor this season. With that in mind, we will place our bet on C.J. Stroud.
Stroud could have won last year if not for early-season injuries, and voters won’t forget that. Add on the fact that Ohio State is projected to be one of the best teams in the nation this year; Stroud will have every opportunity to win the 2022 Heisman Trophy.